Friday, April 11, 2008
Game of the Year 6th Place Prediction
So which game will be the dreaded bubble game? That is, after fourteen weeks of this contest and the building hope that you might receive a prize, which player's hopes will be dashed at the last possible moment? Well it's incumbent on me to try to guess despite my recent track record. Since I've noted basically all of the platitudes of how terrible I am at this over and over, no need to repeat any of them this week, instead will just delve into the numbers. Only minor note is that since we once again are treated to knowing the next game also got a first place vote, just as it did for the 8th Place Game, it makes me mostly inclined to pick the Bhat vs Nakamura game as the most likely to go for the same reasons mentioned there (though I have a nagging feeling that the commissioner might be dropping these misleading hints just to try to ensure I keep getting it wrong so feel free to draw your own conclusion).
33%: IM Vinay Bhat (SF) vs GM Hikaru Nakamura (NY) 1-0
28%: SM Jorge Sammour-Hasbun (BOS) vs IM Davorin Kuljasevic (DAL) 1-0
16%: GM Larry Christiansen (BOS) vs GM Patrick Wolff (SF) 1-0
14%: GM Julio Becerra (MIA) vs IM Drasko Boskovic (DAL) 0-1
6%: FM Marcel Martinez (MIA) vs IM Dmitry Zilberstein (SF) 1-0
3%: GM Eugene Perelshteyn (BOS) vs GM Pascal Charbonneau (NY) 0-1
Number of Points: 70
We'll see if I can finally make a redeeming effort at the elimination which is almost certainly the most important one to date!